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简体繁體English
|Legacy
BTCBTC
💲77020.72
-
1%
ETHETH
💲2133.42
-
1.73%
SOLSOL
💲85.44
-
0.54%
HYPEHYPE
💲47.53
+
4.07%
USDCUSDC
💲1.00
-
0%
ZECZEC
💲547.19
+
4.57%

Phyrex
Phyrex|4月 29, 2026 09:08
Some of the questions from friends are pretty good. Looking at it now, it seems like funds have shifted from net outflow to net inflow. So does this mean the upward trend for Bitcoin will change? From my personal perspective, data only reflects what has happened in the past. It's hard to predict the future, or rather, data represents predictions under normal circumstances. For example, the drop in April 2025 was due to Trump's tariff war, and the subsequent rise was because Trump changed his initial tariff stance, which was positive for the market, leading to the increase. The current rise, however, is more due to the ceasefire between Iran and the U.S. The market sees this as positive, expecting oil prices to drop, inflation to stop rising, and recession probabilities to decrease, which leads to a large influx of funds. But if we assume that Iran and the U.S. start fighting again tomorrow, or even escalate into war, then funds will likely retreat, and naturally, the market will worsen, causing BTC prices to drop. When talking purely about trends, it depends on whether you're looking at the long-term or short-term. In the long-term, the U.S. will eventually enter a rate-cutting cycle—this is certain, though the timing is unclear. Based on economic cycles, a low-interest-rate cycle is bound to come, and low interest rates are generally positive for risk markets. In the short-term, however, there are many constraints, such as oil prices, geopolitical conflicts, tariffs, monetary policies, and so on.
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Timeline

5月 18, 16:31Iranian media reports about the lifting of oil sanctions are false.
5月 18, 13:08Iran proposes a multi-stage ceasefire agreement and nuclear program proposal
5月 18, 12:59Iran Revises Proposal to End War
5月 18, 11:51Trump Agrees to Temporarily Lift Iran Oil Sanctions
5月 18, 04:51Tom Lee's New Year script has already been half fulfilled
5月 17, 15:30Bitcoin rises 19%, gold falls 10.6%
5月 16, 05:31Altcoin short positions profit, market outlook is not optimistic
5月 15, 20:40The United States offers a $15 million reward for information on Iranian drones
5月 15, 15:38The U.S. stock market wiped out over $1 trillion.
5月 14, 13:45Bitcoin's recent rise may be a temporary liquidity squeeze

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