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The 4.5 signal: Why Glassnode’s RHODL ratio says the bitcoin bottom may be in

coindesk
coindesk|4月 17, 2026 09:38
RHODL ratio suggests market conditions resemble cycle corrections rather than late-stage tops, as long-term holders regain dominance. What to know : The RHODL ratio has climbed to its third highest level on record, reflecting a market where long-term holders dominate following a 50% correction that flushed out short-term speculation. While higher readings were seen in 2015 and 2022, further upside in the ratio would likely require a deeper collapse in demand, a scenario that appears less likely given bitcoin’s recovery and strong macro backdrop.(Coindesk)
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Timeline

5月 17, 00:15$60K becomes the Bitcoin cycle low point
5月 16, 14:39Bitcoin ETF fund flows reverse sharply
5月 16, 09:23Bitcoin falls below $78,000
5月 16, 08:23The correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 Index is -45%
5月 16, 06:07Bitcoin ETF experiences weekly outflows for the first time in 6 weeks
5月 16, 03:43Bitcoin spot ETF net outflow of $290.45 million
5月 15, 18:20$60,000 becomes the Bitcoin cycle low point
5月 15, 14:41Asset price changes over the past 10 years
5月 15, 13:37BTC fell back below $80K
5月 15, 11:28BTC Liquidity Map Analysis

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