星球日报
星球日报|Jan 16, 2026 16:28
[Prediction Market Shows Warsh as the Frontrunner for Fed Chair, Hassett Significantly Behind] Odaily Planet Daily News: According to data from the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of Hassett being nominated as Fed Chair has dropped to 15%, on par with Fed Governor Waller, while Kevin Warsh's nomination probability has risen to over 60%, making him the clear frontrunner and leaving other candidates far behind. Today, when Trump spoke about White House National Economic Council Director Hassett, he said, 'I’d like him to stay in his current position; we’ll see.' This statement suggests that Trump may have someone else in mind for the Fed Chair position. The market's expectations for the Fed Chair have shifted from a two-way race between Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh to Warsh taking the lead alone. Notably, before Trump's remarks today, Hassett himself commented, 'Warsh and Rieder would also make great Fed Chairs.' Perhaps Hassett already has some insight into Trump's final choice.
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