彼得兔|1月 15, 2026 06:28
BTC 2026.01.15
Yesterday, I talked about a few possible scenarios for BTC's movement. The common point is that the rally isn’t over yet. Later that night, BTC hit a high of 97924 and has since slightly pulled back.
The next few days’ BTC movement is worth paying close attention to. Currently, the two most likely scenarios are as follows:
Red route: Starting from 97924, BTC is undergoing a minor adjustment. After the adjustment ends, BTC could hit another high. Levels like 988 and 101 are possible targets, and if it’s particularly strong, it might even reach our initial target near 103. Once the peak is found, BTC will enter a new downtrend.
Blue route: BTC’s rally ended at 97924, and the current adjustment will expand in scale, evolving into a new downtrend. (If BTC fails to effectively break through the 98000 level this week, the probability of this scenario increases.)
Based on these two expectations, I’ll be observing the market’s movement and structure closely. Once the peak is identified, I’ll enter large-scale short positions.
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