飞龙财经|Dec 08, 2025 05:54
Macro market analysis on May 28, 2025
Good afternoon, brothers. A new week has begun.
What do you think of the next market trend? Let's analyze a few issues:
(1) How is the recent on chain data?
BTC continues to flow out of the exchange, and the giant whale has been attracting funds to buy at the bottom. Yesterday, the "1011 Insider Whale" ETH long position was increased to 54277. But the stable coins in the exchange have not flowed in, reflecting that the traditional cryptocurrency circle has lost all money without money, and currently relies on traditional financial institutions for funding.
(2) How is the economic data and is it reliable?
Last week's ADP small non farm payroll data showed a surprising decrease of 32000 in employment, which is positive. However, less than 24 hours later, on Thursday evening, the initial unemployment benefit data was released. So? Only 191000 people applied for unemployment benefits. This number is very low, in the historical low range. What does this mean? This means that almost no one has been laid off, and the labor market is extremely hot.
One data says hell, another data says heaven.
On Wednesday, you thought you were going to the ICU, but on Thursday, the doctor told you that you were as strong as a cow. It was a bit sluggish, causing panic in the market after Friday and causing a drop.
(3) Does China's policy have an impact on the cryptocurrency market?
That definitely has an impact. Major media outlets are criticizing the cryptocurrency industry, and many people are scared and running away, so there will be selling pressure from domestic panic markets in the near future. The country is also right, the cryptocurrency circle is a pit, and most of it is fraud. The money earned by ordinary people through hard work is put in, sometimes they open a contract to sell out, sometimes they invest in a CX project, sometimes they play on a small exchange, sometimes they are stolen by hackers, sometimes they are sent telegrams and chats to be phishing, and soon it returns to zero.
(4) The current recommended operation
The probability of a decline in the future is greater than the probability of an increase. Recently, there has been panic, and there are also those who are not afraid of death and keep buying at the bottom. It is recommended to buy when the market falls and not when it rises, and to gradually layout BTC spot. Do not buy other currencies in bear markets. Sell when it rises by 10% and buy when it falls by 20%, which refers to the big cake.
Don't play with CX coins anymore, and don't give money to knockoff projects anymore. Most of the results will be losses. Be honest and hoard big cakes, leave some small capital on the chain to fight dogs or make intraday contracts.
Analysis is only a friendly reference. Adults should take responsibility for their own decisions. Investing carries risks, so don't act recklessly based on intuition. Remember to think and judge independently!
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