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律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|Dec 06, 2025 12:07
**[Next Week's Macro Outlook: Fed Rate Cut "Set in Stone," Hawk-Dove Debate Draws Attention]** BlockBeats News, December 6: The Federal Reserve's final interest rate meeting of the year will take place next week, with the hawk-dove debate drawing significant attention. The Fed is set to announce its rate decision at 3:00 AM (UTC+8) on Thursday, followed by a monetary policy press conference held by Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 3:30 AM (UTC+8). According to CME FedWatch, there is an 84% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next week. The upcoming Fed meeting is expected to be one of the most contentious in recent years, with investors focusing on the divisions among policymakers regarding the rate cut outlook and the signals Fed Chair Powell may provide about the future direction of policy. Among the 12 voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), five have expressed opposition or skepticism toward further monetary easing, while three members of the Board of Governors support the rate cut. Since 2019, the FOMC has not seen three or more dissenting votes at any meeting, making the dissenters closely watched. Key macro data and events are as follows: **Tuesday:** - Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announces its rate decision; RBA Governor Bullock holds a monetary policy press conference. **Wednesday:** - U.S. Q3 Labor Cost Index (quarterly rate); Bank of Canada announces its rate decision. **Thursday:** - Federal Reserve FOMC announces rate decision and Summary of Economic Projections; Fed Chair Powell holds a monetary policy press conference. - U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending December 6. **Friday:** - Federal Reserve releases U.S. household financial health data from the Q3 2025 Financial Accounts report. - 2026 FOMC voting member and Philadelphia Fed President Harker delivers a speech on the economic outlook. - 2026 FOMC voting member and Cleveland Fed President Mester delivers a speech. - Chicago Fed President Goolsbee participates in a moderator dialogue ahead of the Chicago Fed's 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium. **Holiday Reminder:** Due to Christmas Eve, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) will close early at 2:00 AM Beijing time on Wednesday, December 25. On Thursday, U.S. stocks, multiple European stock markets, South Korean stocks, and Australian stocks will all be closed. Trading of precious metals, crude oil, forex, and stock index futures contracts under CME Group, as well as Brent crude oil futures contracts under ICE (Intercontinental Exchange), will be suspended for the entire day.
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Timeline

Jan 05, 03:25Rosenberg predicts a 125 basis point rate cut in 2026
Jan 04, 01:24Liquidity issues in financial markets lead to the sale of crypto assets
Jan 03, 19:31Tariffs are a key factor in inflation being above target.
Dec 31, 09:57The US dollar is likely to record its worst annual performance since 2017.
Dec 31, 01:46Federal Reserve's 2026 Interest Rate Path Divergence Intensifies
Dec 30, 19:45Some Federal Reserve officials are cautious about cutting interest rates.
Dec 22, 11:34FOMC members are unwilling to support a fourth consecutive rate cut.
Dec 21, 08:49Tom Lee's Outlook on Market Trends for 2026
Dec 19, 22:43Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Interest rates should be lowered to address risks in the job market
Dec 19, 19:31Inflation indicators lag behind rent inflation

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