
仲达说|11月 29, 2025 03:43
Every major silver bull market in history has been driven by a falling gold-to-silver ratio (GSR):
• 2011 peak: GSR ≈ 39
• 1979 super bull: GSR = 15–20
• Normal bull market range: GSR = 40–60
Right now, gold is at 4200, silver at 56:
GSR is as high as 75 (extremely high).
Once silver catches up, the ratio will quickly converge.
If gold hits 6000 in the next 3 years, what will silver look like?
2. Silver pricing with gold at 6000 (calculated based on different GSR stages):
① GSR returns to the "normal bull market range" (60):
Silver = 6000 ÷ 60
= $100
This is the most conservative and easiest target to achieve.
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② Returns to the 2011 bull market range (GSR 40):
Silver = 6000 ÷ 40
= $150
This is the main price range for silver during gold's rise to 6000.
⸻
③ Supercycle (GSR 30):
Silver = 6000 ÷ 30
= $200
This is the typical endpoint of a super bull market.
⸻
④ 1979 anomaly (GSR below 20):
Silver = 6000 ÷ 20
= $300
(Historically, silver has seen a GSR of 15–20.)
(PS: The silver bull market has just begun!)
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