加密前线(糖哥)|Nov 07, 2025 08:21
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC
From an experiential perspective, Tang Ge mentioned earlier that BTC's first day of breaking below the daily MA250 line at this position is a break, and the second day is a confirmation of a draw. Yesterday's third day was a pullback, so today's the fourth day is a pullback. However, on the the fourth day, the backdraft height is usually not very high, and it will also be connected to the subsequent turning action.
Judging from the daily trend
1、 Focusing only on the present: The support between the 98000 and 100000 levels is still there, but before the internal level is resolved, this position is only limited to fast in and fast out based on the long and short, and does not support long take. To place an order, it is necessary to reserve a further significant decrease in low take.
2、 If we look to the future: using our theory of shrimp pulling eggs,
(1) Even if there is a rise here, it is difficult to cross the daily MA30 line, and there will be no sustained rise in the future. It will take a long time to rest from the rising segment of the daily technical level (starting from 30 days of wide range oscillation)
(2) If it is only a sideways trend below MA250, it will form an effective downward pattern by next Wednesday. At that time, accompanied by internal level suppression and downward movement, it is easy to break out of a new downward trend. For every spatial drop in price below MA250 (below 6%, or with obvious irreversible structure), we need to guard against the rupture of the upward trend.
Based on the above theoretical information, it can be easily concluded on the market that the recent sudden rise in the daily chart is suppressed at 108030~109480, maintaining a horizontal regional support for long and short periods around 99788~98315 (without changing the short-term structure), and a sudden sharp decline is supported at 93800~91930. (If it is only a slow decline, at most during the downward trend, at 96800~94840, it will connect with a long and short period, but the final position seeking support is still around 93000.)
In short, a rebound below 98000 can easily trigger the end of a bullish trend.
From the level of 4H and below, the price is still running on the bearish side and has not completed an effective bottoming structure. Although it is not easy to continue to decline after a sharp drop, it cannot be assumed that it is possible to go long simply because it is black and white.
At best, this is a 1H level wide range oscillation, with limited range for both long and short positions in place. Short term positions with room for movement can be reversed around the upper and lower tracks and departure segments of the oscillation box.
Short term support around 99788~98315 (1:2 close in/out), medium-term support at 93800~91930 (can be hung, but subsequent rebound will affect the trend of large level bulls), short-term suppression at 104150~104888 (short throw), second suppression at 106210~107360 (the first high will not last, but subsequent pullbacks will solidify the medium-term structure, and stepping back on the lifeline tactics of various levels is a much lower opportunity)
Tip: The more complex the trend operation, the greater the difficulty and the more words it contains. Please understand; We have a simple pattern like last week where we eat both long and short every day.
If the fluctuation is amplified next, it will be in the following intervals, and if it arrives first, then do it first. The most common situations in the process of monitoring the market are not to do short orders that are directly suppressed by the bullish candlestick, and not to do long orders that are directly suppressed by the bearish candlestick, which requires waiting for a small level of confirmation before entering. BTC
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