The crypto market is such a mess, whose fault is it? Trump, Barron, Powell, CZ, Star, Little P, research enthusiasts, or the financial DumpMaxi ideology? Seeking false signals amidst the noise, constructing simple cause-and-effect in chaos—this is the habitual operation of the human brain. But making trading decisions based on false signals and simple causality is the main reason we lose money. Anti-fragility and the barbell strategy are the golden rules for dealing with the reality of complex markets.