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Alex Krüger|Oct 17, 2025 12:38

+ China deal + Regional banks fallout controlled + Govt shitdown over + FOMC cut on Oct/30 => BTC above 110K two weeks to BTFD (all four conditions are likely, with the China deal the most important and least likely and the Government shutfown maybe extending into November)

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Timeline

Nov 16, 12:12Fed meeting minutes will reveal the direction of interest rates

Nov 16, 11:12Market sentiment is extremely pessimistic, and mainstream coins show similar trends.

Nov 16, 07:01Market sentiment index dropped to 10, extreme fear

Nov 16, 06:02Bitcoin BTC breaks through the channel and rises to 83,500

Nov 15, 16:10The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has dropped to 44.4%.

Nov 15, 14:29BTC dropped again to 94,000.

Nov 15, 04:12U.S. stocks rebound, BTC has not significantly followed the rise for now.

Nov 15, 02:41Bitcoin surpasses $96,000, up nearly 1.5% intraday

Nov 15, 01:09The fear index reaches 10, BTC volatility soars

Nov 15, 00:36The U.S. stock market recovers, Nvidia's rebound gives confidence to the market

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