
雷神Value|Jun 22, 2025 08:25
Seeing many people say that Iran's nuclear facilities have been bombed, their first reaction is: "Now it's good, Iran is honest, the war is over." "The American King's Army, they were there as soon as they made a move, Iran was scared to pee
To be honest, this idea is a bit too simplistic and even a bit absurd.
Firstly, is begging for mercy after being beaten up a normal reaction? Think about it, what is Iran's most likely reaction to being "beaten up" by its nuclear facilities? Did you immediately raise your hand and surrender, saying 'I was wrong, let's negotiate'? From a historical perspective, it's not like that at all. Over the past few decades, whether it was the Iran Iraq War, the Stuxnet virus that crippled centrifuges, or even the assassination of generals, which time did Iran immediately surrender? This time it's the same. A group of important officials and nuclear experts have been targeted and eliminated, and nuclear facilities have been attacked. Is Iran directly cowardly? No, it was a continuous bombing of Israel. This time the nuclear facility has been cleared, and there is no way out. If we kneel down directly, we will be oppressed in the future.
Secondly, Iran is not a destroyed country, it has only had its nuclear facilities destroyed. Bombing a nuclear facility destroys its ability to produce nuclear weapons, but not its ability to strike people! This is the key. Iran still holds many things in its hands: thousands of ballistic missiles capable of reaching Israel or even farther, countless suicide drones, and "henchmen" like Hezbollah in Lebanon spread throughout the Middle East. Continuing to bomb Israel with missiles, even attacking US military bases, using drones to attack oil tankers, and allowing Hezbollah's slipper army to launch rocket attacks. You only limited its future 'big killer', but did not abolish its current 'hard fist'. Why should he plead for peace? It's certain that Iran won't hurt but can't beat the United States. Can he still hurt Israel? Iran may not attack the US military, but just keep beating up Israel. Why is Lao Te in a hurry to take action? It's not that Israel really feels the cruelty of war, feels the pressure of continuous warfare, and the pressure on air defense systems is increasing. Just keep throwing Iran away, Israel will collapse.
The latest news is that Iran has started retaliatory attacks against Israel.
Finally, can bombing nuclear facilities completely prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons? Does Iran have no nuclear chips? Short term, long term hard to say. Core areas like Fordo and Natanz have been terminated, and the nuclear weapon development process will definitely be interrupted. But that doesn't mean it's completely hopeless. The knowledge and technology in the minds of scientists and engineers cannot be exploded. In 2010, Iran's nuclear program not only did not stop, but also accelerated. This time it's the same, we definitely have the ability to rebuild and continue working in a more concealed place. Do you expect to solve the Iranian nuclear issue once and for all with just one explosion? Too optimistic.
You can slow down Iran's nuclear weapons production by bombing nuclear facilities, but you cannot extinguish its anger and ability to retaliate. Iran's first reaction to being bombed is likely to be retaliation rather than seeking peace. I don't know if we can attack the US military base, but it will definitely continue to serve Israel with missiles. Do you want to completely destroy Iran's nuclear ambitions and end the conflict with just one bombing? The idea is too beautiful. Lao Te wants to get a surgical knife. If the explosion is successful, he will shout for them to negotiate. He really treats them like dogs. Even if it's a dog, they should bite your dog first. This US bombing is more likely to escalate the conflict rather than put an end to it.
For cryptocurrency enthusiasts, which conflict is not a precise blow to our account? Without exception. Any conflict will trigger some safe haven funds to leave the cryptocurrency circle and flee to less risky assets or markets. BTC is already very resistant to decline and has become increasingly safe haven, but other currencies are much worse off. This is more likely to be just the first step, and it may continue to escalate the scale and duration of the conflict in the future. Don't be fooled by the simple idea of 'bombing nuclear facilities will end the war', reality is often much more complex and cruel than imagined. Being vigilant and preparing contingency plans is the real way.
But don't pay too much attention to these conflicts and wars. In the medium to long term, their impact on encryption is not significant. The funds driven away by Russia Ukraine, Gaza, India Pakistan, Israel Iran, and even future US Iran conflicts are short-term funds, but sooner or later the funds will come back. If they don't come back, someone else will come in. Just like many people in the cryptocurrency industry who have thrown away their big pie, retail investors have almost no chance of winning the big pie, so won't the big pie rise? There are fluctuations, but the trend has always been upward.
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