The current cryptocurrency market has gradually entered a typical "chaotic phase," with bullish and bearish factors intertwined. Macroeconomic sentiment, capital flows, and technical structures are pulling in different directions, resulting in the market's inability to form a consensus on direction. From a technical perspective, the daily chart is still in a rebound phase within a bearish cycle. Short-term bearish momentum has increased, but the larger bullish structure has not been completely destroyed; it currently resembles a concentrated washout of leveraged funds at high levels.

It is worth noting that the current daily and 4-hour volatility has compressed to historically relative lows, indicating that the market is in a clear "energy accumulation phase." Typically, such a structure does not persist for long; once the direction is chosen, it is often accompanied by significant trend fluctuations.

Meanwhile, today Trump began his visit to China, attracting high global market attention. If subsequent cooperation or policy signals exceed expectations, it could further influence global risk appetite and amplify fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market. What the current market lacks is not sentiment, but a core variable that can break the balance.

Overall, the current situation is characterized by high compression and high divergence. The real focus should not be on short-term ups and downs but on the direction the market chooses to break through next.

This article is published by the [Huiying Community] and solely represents personal views. Due to a certain delay in information transmission, the content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Please make rational judgments and operate with caution.
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