In fact, data is something that almost never allows people to buy at the lowest point or sell at the highest point; even the most powerful data can't achieve that. However, looking at data is to gain a clearer understanding of the chip structure, capital dynamics, investor sentiment, and market consistency.
Yet, this data may not be as impactful as Trump saying he will increase tariffs by 200%, or declaring that he will strike someone tomorrow, because no data can predict the actions of those in power, and the rules of this world often revolve around those in power. One could say that those in power are the biggest “insiders.”
I remember there was a prediction market wagering on how many tweets Trump could post in a day; this might be difficult for others, but for Trump, he can win no matter what, it’s just a matter of whether he is willing to engage.
Therefore, even analyzing thousands of pieces of data about Trump, it is almost impossible to match the accuracy of Trump's own decisions. That’s how data works; when there isn’t a significant change in the larger trend, data effectively reflects that trend. However, when urgent events disrupt the established trend, it becomes utterly useless.
What can be seen through data now is quite clear: most investors are significantly interested in buying $BTC below $70,000, which is a fact. But if a third world war breaks out tomorrow, the entire trend could be disrupted; these high-net-worth investors who are still buying may immediately switch to selling.
Thus, data serves more as an aid in making trading judgments, while the ultimate decision still rests with oneself. If you know tomorrow is the last day on Earth, it doesn’t matter what you buy. But if you believe that this geopolitical conflict won’t have a major impact and that things will eventually return to normal, you may think that BTC under $70,000 is quite cheap.
I believe even high-net-worth investors buy Bitcoin incrementally each time, rather than going all in at once.
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