Cryptocurrency News

February 27 Hot Topics;

1.Bloomberg analysts: Bitcoin ETF sees large capital inflow, whether it can truly rebound remains to be seen

2.Greeks.live: Nearly $9 billion in options set to expire tomorrow, with implied volatility of BTC and ETH rising this week

3.BitGo report: Over half of the top 25 banks in the U.S. pilot digital asset business, tokenization market may reach $23 trillion by 2033

4.Today's CME "Fed Watch" data: Probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 96%

5.Cardone Capital plans to tokenize approximately $5 billion in real estate asset portfolio

Trading Insights

1. About Waiting (The Waiting) “Trading is mostly boring. If you feel excited, you are losing money.” Don’t stare at the screen all day. Grabbing the screen and staring at it will make it glare back at you and eat you alive. A good hunter spends most of his time waiting. He waits for the wind to change and for the prey to lower its head to drink water. Don’t focus on the market. Let the market crash into you like a drunken fool. When there’s nothing to do, do nothing. Being in cash is also a position. 2. About Stop Loss (The Cut) “Stop loss is your only friend. Although this friend can sometimes bite you.” Admit mistakes with courage. Most people lack the courage. Watching losses grow is like watching a wound rot, praying for a miracle to happen. Miracles don’t happen. Bad toes happen. When you are wrong, cut it off immediately. Don’t worry. Don’t try to fix it. Pay the bill, try to buy a lesson, and then strive for honor. As long as there is green mountains, you don't fear firewood. 3. About Leverage (The Leverage) “Leverage is borrowed courage. It’s not yours.” In that lousy contract market, leverage is like bad drugs. It makes you feel like you’re doing nothing and feel smarter than the market. But it will give you a splitting headache when you are sober. Bet with what you can afford. If this trade keeps you awake at night, you are betting too big. You can only win when you can sleep soundly. 4. About News and Noise (The Noise) “Don’t listen to them. They sell newspapers, not truth.” In this circle, some are selling news, some are analyzing charts, and some are boasting insider knowledge. Plug your ears. Just watch two things: price and volume. Price is fact. Volume is power. Everything else - macro analysis, institutional upgrades - is usually a lie, or a smokescreen for retreat. 5. About Essence (The Sea) “The market is like the sea. It is not cruel, it is just indifferent.” Don’t be angry at the market. Don’t try to take revenge on Bitcoin. It doesn’t care about you. It doesn’t even know you exist. If you were knocked over by the waves, it’s because you didn’t see the tide clearly, or your boat was too broken. Accept it. Clean the wound. Set sail again. 6. Awe of the Unknown (The Respect for the Unknown) “Only fools believe they can master every candlestick. Smart people know when the wind will rise, it’s not decided by the weather station, it’s decided by the sea.” Sometimes you buy not because of a MACD golden cross, but because the coffee that morning smelled right, or the wind direction changed outside. Is this called metaphysics? No, this is called animal instinct. In the jungle, the longest-lived are not the strongest, but those who can sense danger the best. 7. About Metaphysical Trading “There’s no need to rush the sunrise. What’s meant to come will always come. This is metaphysics, just as Bitcoin is. It has its own timetable.” Don’t insult metaphysics. Those who try to use it to guess the next minute’s rise or fall are just urinating in a holy grail. They don’t understand the way; they are just blinded by greed, speaking like that of news from before, which isn’t truth. That’s all my insights. There’s nothing magical in facing formulas. Only discipline, and this cool elegance in the face of harsh reality.

LIFE IS LIKE 

A JOURNEY  ▲

Below are the real trading group trades from the Big White community this week. Congratulations to those who followed along, if your trades aren’t going well, you can come try the waters.

Data is real, each order has a screenshot from when it was issued.

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BTC

Analysis

From the data of BTC, the turnover rate continues to decline but the competition is also decreasing, indicating that investor purchasing sentiment is beginning to fade. The purchasing power driven by sentiment still cannot last for long, and the drop in U.S. stocks has made investors not continue chasing the rise. Of course, earlier investors have not changed much and continue to maintain a wait-and-see state.

The data also clearly shows that the chip structure is still very stable, but the price changes are still largely dependent on short-term investors. Only in the rising phase or when volatility decreases do short-term investors lower their interest in turnover; temporarily, we still need to wait.

A pullback to the range of 66922-66627 can be considered for long positions, with targets looking towards 68500-70000.

ETH

Analysis

Today’s correction in U.S. stocks brought BTC down, which is very normal. The rise yesterday was partly fueled by Circle's factors driving sentiment, and partly by Nvidia's report confirming that the AI story can continue. However, what the market lacks the most right now is liquidity. And liquidity is hard to fully realize by earnings reports. The upgrades that could bring liquidity will likely still depend on the Fed's monetary policy; the time that sentiment-driven rises can hold is still short, especially since the top articles have clearly stated that currently institutions, hedge funds, and even retail investors are in a selling state. The cash reserves of institutions are almost at a historical low, while the positions are very heavy.

In this situation, any rise is likely to become liquidity withdrawal by institutions; only when the capital reserves of institutions are more abundant can liquidity in the short term drive a rise. But this will likely take some time, and attention should still focus on the monetary policy and mid-term elections in the second half of the year. A pullback to around 2010-1985.7 can be considered for long positions, with targets looking towards 2045-2078. A rebound to around 2075-2090 can be considered for short positions, with targets looking towards around 1980.

Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific trading advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market trends change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If there is anything you don’t understand, feel free to consult.

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