Compiled by: Plain Blockchain

2025 is the year of airdrop for perpetual contract DEX (Perps DEX).

Those who used Lighter, Avantis, or Aster received huge airdrops. I still believe it makes sense to use some perpetual contract DEX like Extend .

However, I expect the biggest airdrop fromthis year will be the prediction market.

In this issue, I will explain why, introduce the prediction market platforms I'm using, and share several strategies you can use to "pick up the money".

First, the answer to "why" is simple:

Prediction market platforms are more sustainable than almost all other airdrop projects, andwhales find it difficult to manipulate volumes with large funds.

If you are willing to invest time into managing this, it's a good thing because it also means yourcompetition is significantly reduced. Historically, the best airdrops often come from dApps that require completing tasks and cannot provide liquidity.Secondly, market predictions are among the very few crypto products that have truly found PMF (Product Market Fit).Mainstream media frequently reports on them,with Polymarket participating in the largest funding round in crypto last year at $2 billion.

Therefore, I believe that$POLY will have a large number of buyers at TGE (Token Generation Event), and a high token valuation is key for the protocol to make large dollar value investments.

Here are some actual data and calculations:

According to DeFiLLama,Polymarket's TVL is $350 million.

Assuming it issues tokens at$10 billion FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation, with venture capital valuation of $9 billion), and a mere 5% of the supply is airdropped to users, then this 5% airdrop could be worth $500 million.

Clearly, its airdrop might be based more on volume and other metrics, rather than just TVL, but the fact that its airdrop value could exceed the platform's total TVL makes me think it's a very wise choice to engage with it.

While Polymarket's airdrop has yet to be officially confirmed, there have been many indications over the past few months that its Token is about to launch.

I am using non-token prediction market protocols

(I will introduce some airdrop strategies later)

The airdrop category I am most confident in is Polymarket and Opinion.

I allocate 80-85% of my prediction market airdrop funds to these two platforms, as I believe they are highly likely to conduct large-scale airdrops. However, I am also using a few other less-known platforms.

Here is an overview of prediction market applications I am using, apart from Polymarket:

1.Opinion

• Supported byYZi Labs (formerly BN Labs).

• Currently thethird largest prediction market platform.

• Launched a points program and will go live onBNB Chain in November 2025.

• Based on Polymarket's predictions, the probability of launching tokens before June 30 is 96%, with a 47% chance of FDV exceeding $500 million.

• Most markets on Opinion also exist on Polymarket, allowing users toarbitrage between the two platforms.

• Annual revenue of $47 million.

2. Predict

• Also supported byYZi Labs.

• Has a points program, distributing10,000,000 points weekly.

• Prediction users' funds deposited into the popular Bitcoin protocol on BNB ChainVenus yield returns, which are then distributed weekly to users.

• Placing limit orders in prediction markets and maintaining a high open interest can earn more points.

3. Probable

• Supported byYZi Labs andPancakeswap.

• Its points program rewards users based on trading volume, referral activities, liquidity provision (LP), and holding duration.

• Some of the prediction markets above may be unique and lack offerings elsewhere.

Apart from Polymarket and Kalshi (I haven't included Kalshi because I don't think it is likely to airdrop), these are currently the most popular applications.

To be honest, Opinion, Predict, and Probable are very similar and all built on theBNB Chain,with Opinion having a first-mover advantage, so I mainly focus on this one.

It is clear that a large portion of their trading volume is not urgently needed but driven by users incentivized to earn points.

Nonetheless, I believe it is worthwhile to engage, for the following reasons:

CZ and several figures in the BNB ecosystem have been actively promoting these three well-known platforms.

The same situation is occurring onAster DEX.

Because CZ vigorously promoted it after TGE,$ASTER's FDV peaked at $15 billion, and the first ASTER airdrop also became one of the best-performing airdrops of 2026.

Using prediction market applications on the BNB Chain could yield similar returns.

How to engage with market prediction airdrops

I will introduce three different methods.

1. Direct betting based on personal judgment

If you spend a lot of time on social media (CT) and have a good grasp of crypto dynamics, you can generate organic trading volume by placing research-based bets on markets like "Will there be a massive liquidity airdrop in 2026?" or "What will the FDV of USDai be on its launch day?".

But to be honest, I think most people should avoid doing this becausemaintaining profitability is not easy.

2. Providing liquidity through limit orders

Polymarket has arewards section, where you can see which markets offer USDC rewards for users placing limit orders around the midpoint.

The other prediction market platforms I mentioned earlier also reward liquidity providers with points.

There are many ways to obtain liquidity rewards, but this is the method I am adopting:

• Go tothe rewards section (this example is based on Polymarket, but limit orders can earn points across all prediction market platforms)

• Sort markets by "rewards" (click that word) and filter by categories you're familiar with (e.g., you can choose cryptocurrency and politics).

• Scroll down until you find a prediction market you are sure will resolve in a certain way or believe is unlikely to see volatility in the near term.

• Set a limit order to buy YES or NO shares near the midpoint based on your judgment of market movements.

I will give an example:

There is a market called "Will major CEXs go bankrupt in 2026?", and its outcome will only be "Yes" if BN, Coinbase, Bybit, OK, or Kraken goes bankrupt before the end of the year.

While outsiders cannot accurately gauge their financial status, I believe they are unlikely to declare bankruptcy soon, especially considering that most central trading platforms have recently seen positive cash inflow.

As shown in the image above, this market I mentioned provides an LP reward of 10 USDC daily.

So my strategy is to simply place a limit buy order below the midpoint, betting on NO (No major CEXs going bankrupt in 2026), and then after the order is filled, place a limit sell order above the midpoint to sell the NO shares.

For rewards to be obtained, the order position must be very close to the midpoint.

I have been engaged in this market for several days, earning dozens of dollars. My goal is not to get rich off providing liquidity, since rewards for liquidity providers (LPs) are minimal, but earning LP rewards may allow you to qualify for the Polymarket airdrop.

Polymarket needs sufficient liquidity, so if it conducts an airdrop, I am quite confident it will reward liquidity providers.

3. Prediction market arbitrage (lowest risk)

The benefit of prediction markets offered on Opinion, Predict, and Probable is that almost all these markets are also available on Polymarket.

This allows for a substantial amount of prediction volume while generating significant risk-free profits by arbitraging with slightly varying odds.

For example, suppose there is a market on both Polymarket and Opinion titled "Will Trump resign before March 31?"

On Polymarket, let’s assume you can bet "Yes" at 8 cents (8% probability).

Assuming you can bet "No" at 90 cents (90% probability of it not happening).

When this market expires, whether the stock is "Yes" or "No", it will be worth $1.

However, you could buy 1 share of YES on Polymarket at 8 cents and 1 share of NO on Opinion at 90 cents, spending a total of 98 cents, which will become $1 at expiration regardless of the market result. (Yielding about 2%)

My advice is to only engage in arbitrage for markets expiring within 60 days.

This is the best way to generate trading volume risk-free and farm prediction markets, as long as you read the rules carefully and ensure you don't arbitrage across two different markets.

You can find prediction market arbitrage opportunities in two ways:

• Manually, by searching for the same market with slightly different odds on both prediction market platforms (the advantage is that it is completely free, but it may take time to find opportunities).

• Automatically, by using tools likeAlert Pilot or Oxygen Delta, which utilize AI to automatically find arbitrage opportunities.

My most commonly used tool is Alert Pilot. In my opinion, it is currently the best tool on the market, but it requires a monthly paid subscription, so it may only be worth using when you plan to use a substantial amount of funds for prediction market arbitrage.

Oxygen Delta is a free market arbitrage forecasting tool, but in my experience, its accuracy is lower and it doesn't show all opportunities.

This is what I wanted to show you regarding farming prediction markets.

This article is long, but I truly hope it helps you!

I firmly believe that farming prediction market airdrops will yield substantial returns in 2026.

Even if Polymarket decides to only airdrop a small portion of its supply, it is entirely possible for it to conduct one of the largest cryptocurrency airdrops in history.

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