Crypto Circle News
January 15 Hot Topics:
1. Grayscale's Chainlink Trust ETF GLNK has officially launched.
2. Sui: The mainnet is experiencing network stagnation, and the team is actively resolving the issue.
3. Deribit has launched USDC settled options products for AVAX and TRX.
4. Federal Reserve Beige Book: Most Federal Reserve districts show slight economic improvement, with overall employment stable.
5. Solana Mobile opens SKR air drop eligibility checks, available for collection on January 21.
Trading Insights
Going long makes you unable to resist buying, going short makes you unable to resist shorting, and holding positions makes you unable to resist adding. Any direction is not the problem; the issue is the frequency. "There are too many temptations in the market, both long and short have 'seemingly reasonable' places. Today you want to catch a bottom, tomorrow you want to short, and next week you think you should add to your original position… Over time, you are no longer waiting for opportunities but responding to stimuli. The real core is not whether to go long or short, nor whether your judgment is right or wrong, but whether you can withstand those seemingly promising but actually just noise temptations. Opportunities are few, impulses are many. This reminds me of a classic story about Livermore. After he went bankrupt, he hardly touched anything, did nothing, and waited a long time—waiting for the market to present a truly structural big opportunity before he heavily bought Bethlehem Steel (friends interested can search for Livermore's - Bethlehem Steel, a very impressive comeback battle). Others think his secret to rebirth is 'getting that judgment right,' but he himself said: 'I can win because I can wait.' He didn't trade when he wanted to but when he had to. This is the way of the expert: >> Not moving every day, but moving at critical moments. >> Not frequently looking for opportunities, but letting opportunities come to find you. >> Not more is better, but less is more accurate. Whether long, short, or holding positions, human nature will gradually push the frequency of actions higher, making you more chaotic and scattered, and when a good opportunity finally comes, you have already lost your edge. So the essence of the logic is actually just one sentence: Those who can truly win are not those with strong judgment, but those who can endure. Fewer actions, but each one is valuable.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading group orders from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the friends who followed along. If your operations are not going smoothly, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from when it was sent.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
Today is another day where U.S. stocks fell while Bitcoin rose. The decline in U.S. stocks should be multifaceted; if the previous days were due to bank stocks, today Visa and MasterCard both showed signs of rebound. If we talk about the first tier of credit card damage, it should be these two, followed by bank stocks reporting profits below expectations, leading to the financial sector's decline. Technology stocks were not idle either, with Amazon, Tesla, Microsoft, and Meta all experiencing a 2% drop.
Finance and technology often share a pattern of mutual prosperity and decline. The valuation expansion of tech stocks drives the overall market, while financial stocks benefit from increased lending and investment banking activities. Personally, I don't think this decline is about the essence of AI narratives, nor is it the beginning of an AI bubble; it feels more like a balance based on earnings expectations. The decline in financial stocks reflects concerns about interest spreads, bad debts, and capital efficiency, while the pullback in tech stocks is a natural response of overvalued assets under marginal risk aversion.
The strength of Bitcoin precisely indicates that the market has not entered a comprehensive decline in risk appetite. As the market begins to reassess bank profits, credit expansion, and corporate earnings uncertainty, assets like $BTC, which do not rely on cash flow, do not need credit endorsement, and have liquidity, naturally become a temporary haven for funds. A pullback to around 95100-94830 can be a buying opportunity, with a rebound target looking towards 96600-97400.
ETH
Analysis
Weekly Level: The weekly K-line has broken upward from the triangular consolidation this week, with the upper Bollinger middle track resistance around 3600.
From a Fibonacci perspective, the resistance area of the Bollinger middle track resonance is at 0.382. The overall trend is still an upward rebound from the weekly downtrend. Only by breaking above the bull-bear boundary at Fibonacci 0.5, which is above 3800, can we completely turn from bearish to bullish.
Daily Level: The price has broken through the upper boundary of the triangular consolidation with a strong bullish candle, and there is a small bearish candle that has retested the upper boundary support. As long as the price does not fall back into the triangular area, we can continue to look for long positions in the short term.
From the Vegas perspective, the price failed to push through Vegas yesterday, and Vegas currently provides intraday resistance. Short-term long positions can wait for the price to pull back at the resistance to set up.
In terms of the ascending channel, the price has encountered resistance at the upper boundary, while there is an FVG gap below. If there is a spike to fill the gap, we can also enter short-term long positions, with the stop loss placed below the lower boundary of the channel.
4-Hour Level: After breaking through, the price has formed a double top + TD9 at a high level, so the price will enter a consolidation state or a brief pullback in the short term. We can look for long positions on the pullback, while for the wave, we can wait for the price to reach the weekly resistance to set up in advance.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
