Is the surge and fall of Bitcoin an opportunity or a trap?

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汤米
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5 hours ago

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What do we think about Bitcoin and Ethereum today? Those who have been following Tommy are already profiting from this wave, while those hesitating are still asking what happened. This evening, Bitcoin once again refreshed its two-month high, peaking at 97,700, while Ethereum has returned to above 3,400 after two months. It has directly broken through all previous important resistance levels, just as I indicated on January 8 that the real explosion has just begun. Although the market has seen a slight pullback during the midday session, I estimate that many short-sellers have rushed in. I clearly indicated in the morning that the pullback provides an opportunity for those who have not yet reacted. Currently, there is no need to overly focus on the so-called technical aspects, as this wave of market movement is a typical bullish restart driven by sentiment. Last week's market was stagnant when no one had any sentiment; I repeatedly pointed out that as long as the support holds, the structure is not broken. Looking back, we will find that real surges often occur during the most uninteresting phases.

BTC: From the current 12-hour perspective, the trapped position platform from November 17, 2025, has once again confirmed its stability today. The target entry position we indicated in the morning at 95,400 has a strong resistance range above 102,700 of 7,000 points. After a second retest this evening, it has already risen by 2,000 points, meaning our mid-term target of 102,700 still has 5,000 points of space. Of course, those who have listened in on this wave have already been notified to gradually reduce their positions, allowing us to take the remaining profits further. So today, January 15, is also an important turning point. For those who do not understand, you can refer to my previous article for a detailed explanation.

ETH: From the current market perspective, Ethereum's overall breakout strength is still weaker than Bitcoin's. It is currently at the resistance level of 3,380-3,400. As long as the structure does not break down, our next target range remains the strong resistance line of 3,580-3,750. Each retest, as long as it does not break the support of the box range, although the breakout strength is weaker than Bitcoin, sentiment will still be influenced by Bitcoin. In our operations, we should go with the trend. This is a standard structural emotional breakout market, where the key is to break through the previous concentrated pressure area of trapped chips, and after a volume surge, we can digest the high-level pullback. Now we do not need to focus on the previous highs but rather on whether the previous breakout concentrated area breaks or not. As long as the structure is not damaged, this wave is not the end but rather brings more opportunities for the next wave.

We must remember that those who truly make money are not the ones who react the fastest, but those who are already on board when others are in doubt. Following the market trend allows one to go further in the market, and these are the people who truly achieve results in the market.

In this recent bull market, I have repeatedly emphasized that I believe the underlying logic of the cryptocurrency market has changed. The factors determining market trends are now more complex than before, and this complexity is something investors have not experienced in previous bull and bear markets. I am Tommy, a companion in the B circle who trades while practicing. If you want real-time entry points and personalized strategies, click on my homepage to join the community. We have professional real-time trading teachers accompanying you around the clock to help you maintain your mindset; do not bear it alone.

Points are time-sensitive, and there may be delays in posting, so please refer to real-time market conditions. Finally, everyone should remember the two key points I mentioned in my previous article: focus on trial positions in the short term, and once we deviate from our target range, it will be the last opportunity to make significant profits before the end of the year. I am K-line Life Tommy, your real-time cryptocurrency steward, specializing in: K-line trading

Original volume trading strategy.

Short-term wave highs and lows, medium to long-term trend trades, daily extreme pullbacks, weekly K-top predictions, monthly head predictions.

WeChat public account QR code (K-line Life Tommy)

Warm reminder: The only WeChat public account at the end of the article is created by the author!!

Please be cautious in distinguishing between true and false, thank you for reading!

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