Ethereum #Bitcoin #EthereumRealTimeAnalysis #BitcoinRealTimeAnalysis

Hello everyone, I am Lao Lv. It has been a few days without updates, and the trend remains the same; it has just been a larger range of fluctuations. With this kind of trend, even the King of Hell would have to take two cuts, especially Ethereum. Bitcoin is still within expectations; as long as it doesn't form a strong bullish candle on the four-hour chart and stabilize above 90,000, the bulls still have no chance. The price has not broken the previous high, but Ethereum is different. The range of fluctuations is larger, so the probability of getting stopped out in operations is higher. However, at present, our bearish trend remains unchanged. The intentions of the market makers are very clear: they want to continuously wipe out the short positions held by small retail investors and then initiate further declines. This kind of deliberate manipulation is too obvious, and the control of the market is also too apparent. Why do I say this? Everyone might as well take a look at the trends of the past few days. All these days, the price was pushed to the highest point between 8 PM and 12 AM, and then it started to decline after midnight. It’s as if everyone had agreed to sell at midnight. It is evident that someone is deliberately controlling the market, whether it is a consortium of large exchanges or market makers washing out positions. This operation is too obvious, and the behavior is not pretty. Technically, it is far from ideal. In Lao Lv's article on December 13, we also briefly mentioned gold. You can see that the technical points are very clear: it is about breaking through the previous high. Hasn't it risen in the past few days? The domestic price is still looking at 2000, rather than washing out retail investors like cryptocurrencies. Why, after so many years, are many retail investors unwilling to stay in the crypto market? It’s because the behavior is unappealing and does not give retail investors a way out. The major exchanges are just harvesting together. If conditions allow, it’s better to play with gold. Moreover, the possibility of a significant drop in the future is even greater because after controlling the market, the bears are scared and dare not build positions. The good show is about to begin.

Currently, the washout of both cryptocurrencies is severe, and finding a good entry point is indeed challenging. If you enter too early, you get washed out; if you don’t enter, the price is likely to continue accelerating. Previously, we were just preventing and preventing, but we still didn’t manage to avoid it, especially with Ethereum likely continuing to wash around the 2700-3000 range. After two rounds of 2710-3000-2650, it continues to break the trend channel line and accelerates downward. On the daily chart, we continue to pay attention to the support level of 2380, and also the level of 2120. Let’s clarify the overall strategy for the next two to three years for both cryptocurrencies, starting with Ethereum.

For Ethereum, if we consider a deep adjustment on the daily chart, we should focus on the 2380-2400 range, where we can consider taking long positions on the daily chart. If it can hold, the daily chart should at least maintain a rebound for two to three days. However, this cannot be considered a bottom-fishing price because bottom fishing must pay attention to adjustments on the daily and weekly charts. According to the previous weekly chart trend, the price dropped from 4900 to 2400, which is far from enough; it must drop more than 70% from the high point to initiate a bull market. So what is the difference between the support at 2380 and the support at 2120? The difference is that the former is on the daily chart and can be used for medium-term positions, while 2120 is on the weekly chart and can be used for long-term positions. However, for the long-term position at 2120, our view remains unchanged: it is not about breaking the high of 4900, but rather about seeing the price rise to around 4120 before continuing into a bear market. The three bull markets must start, and I personally believe it must drop from around 4120 to the monthly level of 1600-1700 to begin a major bull market. Of course, if the daily chart does not drop first in the future, my thinking remains unchanged; I still do not see a break above, with 4120 as the monthly resistance, continuing to look at the cycle of a major bear market. The third bull market will not be able to rise strongly without dropping more than 70%.

On the daily chart, we focus on two positions: the 2380-2400 range and the area near 2120.

As for Bitcoin, we are still waiting for an opportunity, waiting for a daily chart bottom divergence opportunity. At 74,200 USD, we can start a new round of a small bull market, looking to rise to the weekly resistance level of 108,000-110,000 before starting a major bear market, continuing to drop to around 57,777. Only when the price falls below this level can the three major bull markets and the break of the previous high of 126,000 be possible. The current monthly level adjustment is not the strong bull pattern from before; the strong bull that started from 15,000 is only experiencing a brief downward pressure on the monthly chart, rather than a turning downward pressure on the moving average level. The previous monthly decline was merely an adjustment in the bull market, while the current decline is preparing for the bull market, and the intensity is definitely different. The trading strategy for one to two years is basically consistent with Ethereum, and we will keep this article pinned for a long time.

On the daily chart, we only focus on one position: around 74,200.

This repetitiveness on the daily chart keeps us worried about the decline, but we are also afraid of missing out. Therefore, our intraday strategy is still to seek progress while maintaining stability. Yesterday, Monday, the price started to rise at 8 PM. Since you like to control the market so much, let’s continue to follow its performance, predicting an upward movement to 89,500 and the 3020-3040 range, or simply not considering the price and directly looking at the highest point of the price rise at 8 PM tonight, then starting to enter short positions at 9 PM, continuing to watch the support levels below: 2930 and 86,800. If this price breaks below with a large bearish candle on the four-hour chart, the short positions will be significant, and our bottom-fishing orders will have hope. In terms of operations, we continue to focus on short positions; if the daily chart does not close with a strong bullish candle that engulfs the previous upward pattern, we still do not consider going long.

Additionally, do not consider where the top of gold is; domestically, we continue to look at 2000. We analyzed this viewpoint in detail in the article on the 13th of this month, and it has already been realized in just 10 days. We continue to look forward to it. Lao Lv is a firm holder of gold.

Today: Written by Lao Lv on the evening of December 23, 2025, at 18:43. Please note that all strategies are effective once and cannot be reused! Check the text version and specific entry prices in the lower right corner of the image or video.

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