📊 Data: Comparison of Major Institutions' Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2025: Almost All Fail | So, what should we really focus on?
So who still believes in predictions?
Believing is just being a big fool!
The market is chaotic,
unpredictable,
do not have delusions.
Finding certainty in uncertainty
is what we should be doing the most.
So here comes the key | What is certainty:
1️⃣ The supply of Bitcoin is certain!
21 million coins, not a single coin more.
This is a level of certainty that is not influenced by anyone's will.
2️⃣ The long-term monetary system will inevitably continue to depreciate!
I wrote in my pinned post: Interest rate hikes are temporary, money printing is eternal, and currency will inevitably be overissued.
This is determined by human nature + political structure, not a viewpoint, not subject to anyone's will, and is a fact repeatedly verified by history.
3️⃣ Humanity will always choose "harder money"
When choices arise, funds will definitely flow from weak rules to strong rules.
4️⃣ Prices are unpredictable in the short term, but cycles definitely exist!
It's not about precise points, but the rhythm of "overextension → correction → re-overextension" repeatedly occurring.
5️⃣ The positions, costs, and mindset you can control are certain.
Not how much it will rise to or when it will rise.
6️⃣ Holding quality assets for the long term has a much higher win rate than frequent trading.
This is statistics, not faith.
7️⃣ Time itself is the only stable leverage for ordinary people.
It's not about predictive ability, not about information advantage, but about whether you can endure.
————
Don't try to guess how the market will move; first, think clearly about which side you want to stand on.
Prediction is finding comfort for anxiety;
Allocation is finding certainty in life.
The image below is from @wublockchain12 @WuBlockchain

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