Hongwei's Coin: Morning Report on BTC and ETH for the 12th-13th, Analysis and Strategy for Bitcoin and Ethereum Market

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Cryptocurrency Market Analysis on December 13, 2025: Seeking Direction Amidst Fluctuations, Weekly K-Line Closing Determines the Future

On December 13, 2025, the cryptocurrency market continues its recent consolidation pattern, with Bitcoin and Ethereum showing significant correlation in their core asset movements. The interplay between short-term fluctuations and long-term trends has become the central focus of the current market. The uniqueness of the weekend market, combined with the approaching end of the monthly weekly K-line, further highlights the importance of market direction selection.

Bitcoin: Tug-of-War at the 90,000 Mark, Weekly K-Line Signals Become Key Guidance

Bitcoin is currently maintaining its position above 90,000 USD. This critical price level has returned after experiencing a round of market fluctuations, demonstrating its phase support strength. From a structural perspective, since the high point retracement, Bitcoin has formed a narrow consolidation range between 90,000 and 92,500 USD. After briefly dipping below the 90,000 USD mark yesterday, it quickly regained its ground, with the current price rising to 90,300 USD, showing a sustained upward momentum.

In the short term, the historical pattern of weekend market fluctuations is likely to continue, and in the absence of clear directional guidance, the market is expected to oscillate within the existing range. Key resistance levels to watch above are 91,000 USD and 91,800 USD; whether these can be effectively broken will directly impact the short-term trend. Below, the 90,000 USD integer mark must be defended; if it falls below and loses the 89,000 USD support, the market may revert to a bearish pattern.

From a long-term perspective, the closing shape of this month's weekly K-line becomes the core anchor point for trend judgment. If a bearish K-line is ultimately formed, it will mean that the bearish situation will re-dominate the market, and subsequent downward risks need to be closely monitored. Conversely, if a bullish K-line can be formed, it will continue the previous upward trend indicated by the doji, and the bullish trend is expected to extend further. The market feedback after the closing of the weekly K-line on the 8th shows that if bullish signals can continue to be confirmed, the probability of subsequent price increases will significantly rise, but the overall market still has not escaped the influence of a bearish tone.

Ethereum: Closely Following Bitcoin's Rhythm, 3,100 USD Becomes the Key Breakthrough

Ethereum's movement closely follows Bitcoin, currently focusing on the 3,000 USD mark, which serves as both short-term support and an important resistance level. As of now, there has been no effective breakdown, indicating its support resilience. Near the current price, Ethereum's short-term pressure is concentrated at 3,100 USD, and whether it can break through this key level becomes the core focus of the weekend market.

From potential trend analysis, two possibilities are worth noting: First, if it can successfully stabilize above 3,100 USD, a strong bullish move directly to 3,400 USD is not ruled out; second, if the breakthrough fails, it is likely to continue the "up-down" oscillation rhythm, with a potential retest of the 2,900 USD support level, and in extreme cases, it may even dip to 2,700 USD, with the possibility of setting a new low. Referring to the K-line trend from September 6-7, 2025, although the weekend market is likely to be dominated by consolidation, there remains a possibility of significant fluctuations, necessitating caution against sudden market risks.

Operational Strategy: Short-Term Bullish Focus, Caution Against Weekend Volatility

In light of the current market pattern, the operational strategy suggests a short-term bullish focus, relying on the key support levels of 90,000 USD for Bitcoin and 3,000 USD for Ethereum. The current market logic of "short on the rise, long on the fall" has strong feasibility, allowing for profit accumulation through grasping the oscillating market. However, caution is needed against the "black swan" risk of sudden market crashes, and proper position control and stop-loss settings should be implemented.

Moving forward, it is crucial to pay attention to the results of the weekly K-line closing, as this will provide clear directional guidance for the remaining December market. If the weekly K-line shows clear bullish signals, appropriate increases in bullish positions can be made; if bearish signals are confirmed, strategies need to be adjusted promptly to avoid downward risks. Subsequent market dynamics will be continuously monitored, and further in-depth interpretations will be shared after the weekly K-line is released to assist investors in grasping market rhythms.

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