🔥July 22, 2025 Crypto Market Morning Report｜The Crypto Market Game Amidst Fluctuations in US Stocks: Bitcoin's Bollinger Bands Narrowing Hints at a Trend Change, Ethereum ETF Inflows Support Bullish Trend!💎

📈【US Stock Market and Federal Reserve Dynamics】
The Dow slightly fell while the Nasdaq rose, with Nvidia and Tesla showing resilience in tech stocks. CME data indicates a probability of over 97% that the Federal Reserve will remain unchanged in July, but expectations for a rate cut in September have risen to 57.2%. San Francisco Fed President Daly reiterated that two rate cuts before the end of the year are reasonable, emphasizing the need to avoid excessive tightening that could harm the labor market. This policy expectation has intensified the long-short divergence in the crypto market.

⚡【Bitcoin Technical Analysis】
Bitcoin is oscillating in the $116,000 - $119,000 range on the daily chart, with the Bollinger Bands continuing to narrow, indicating an impending trend change. Although it is under short-term pressure at $119,000, the quick rebound to $116,600 early this morning shows that bulls are still gathering strength. Notably, Bitcoin reached a historical high of $123,300 in June, and the current pullback has reached 4.7%, with initial signs of technical overselling emerging.

🚀【Ethereum's Strong Logic】
ETH hit a recent high of $3,856 yesterday, with the four-hour EMA indicator showing a typical bullish arrangement. BlackRock's Ethereum ETF saw inflows of $499 million in a single day, with total inflows in July reaching $2.27 billion, setting a new historical high. Institutional holdings have increased to 4% of the total market cap, and Peter Thiel's company has increased its holdings to $1 billion, providing long-term support for Ethereum through this structural capital inflow.

📊【Operational Strategy Suggestions】
1️⃣ Bitcoin: During the Bollinger Bands narrowing period, strictly execute high sell and low buy strategies within the $116,500 - $119,500 range, with support orders set to stop loss at $115,000 and pressure orders set to stop loss at $120,000.
2️⃣ Ethereum: A pullback to around $3,700 can be a light long position, relying on strong support at $3,680, targeting $3,850 - $3,900, while being cautious of potential fluctuations caused by excessive separation of fast and slow lines.
3️⃣ Risk Control Reminder: During the sensitive period of Federal Reserve policy, control positions within 30%, with each order's stop loss not exceeding 2% of the principal.

💡The current market is at a critical juncture of policy expectations and technical resonance, with Bitcoin's narrowing oscillation contrasting sharply with Ethereum's institutional buying frenzy. It is recommended to closely monitor tonight's Federal Reserve Beige Book and tomorrow's initial jobless claims data, as these will provide new clues for interest rate expectations. Click "View" below to get real-time strategy adjustments during the trading session!👇

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