Cryptocurrency News
June 22 Highlights:
1. Texas becomes the third state in the U.S. to establish a Bitcoin reserve.
2. U.S. media: Trump was willing to go to Turkey to negotiate with Iran, but canceled due to being unable to contact Khamenei.
3. U.S. military airstrikes hit three Iranian nuclear facilities, claiming the operation is complete and calling for peace.
4. U.K. crypto regulation suffers from "policy procrastination," experts warn it has fallen behind Europe and the U.S.
5. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen: Cryptocurrencies do not pose a threat to the dollar, stablecoins can reinforce the dollar's dominance.
Trading Insights
Contract trading pitfall guide: Don't believe the 70% win rate myth; these three core elements are key! In the contract trading circle, there are always those who tout "70%+ win rates guarantee profits." But the harsh truth is: simply pursuing a high win rate is meaningless! What truly determines profit and loss are these three core elements – risk-reward ratio, win rate, and trading frequency. The three are like the fulcrum of a balance; you must understand the trade-offs because having all three is a fatal logical trap!
Why can’t you have all three? ① High-frequency trading: Suitable for capturing short-term fluctuations, relying on win rates to accumulate profits, but with short holding times, it’s hard to catch major trends, inevitably sacrificing the risk-reward ratio; ② High risk-reward ratio strategy: Requires patiently waiting for opportunities at key points (like major cycle tops/bottoms), fewer trades, and demands precise judgment, with very high win rate requirements; ③ High win rate + high frequency: Appears safe, but can easily fall into frequent small trades, and once a significant loss occurs, previous profits can vanish instantly.
Two feasible trading strategies 1) High-frequency trading × high win rate ① Approach: Focus on short-cycle candlesticks, quickly capture small fluctuations, and accumulate profits through a large number of correct trades. ② Suitable for: Traders with ample time and quick reactions, but must be wary of "slippage" and fees eating into profits. 2) High risk-reward ratio × high win rate ① Approach: Use weekly and monthly charts as references, wait for trend reversal signals, heavily position at key points, aiming for "small losses, big gains." ② Essential skills: Strong self-discipline (resisting the temptation to hold empty positions) and precise trend judgment ability.
Core of survival: Avoid "big losses"! ① Negative EV decision-making: Refers to trading habits that lead to losses over the long term (like holding against the trend, frequent stop-losses). ② Lifesaving rule: Allow small profits, small losses, and big profits, but strictly control the frequency of "big losses"! Before each trade, ask yourself: Is the stop-loss for this trade within my risk tolerance? If you want to survive in the contract market, don’t be superstitious; use scientific strategies and discipline to overcome human weaknesses!
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trades from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the coin friends who followed along; if your operations are not going well, you can come and test the waters.
Data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from when it was issued.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
BTC
Analysis
Bitcoin's daily line fell from a high of around 103950 to a low of around 100800 yesterday, closing around 102100. The support level is around 101500; if it breaks, it could drop to around 99500. A pullback can be used to buy near this level. The resistance level is near the MA7 moving average; if it breaks, it could rise to around MA30. A rebound near this level can be used to sell short. MACD shows increasing bearish momentum. The four-hour support level is around 101450; if it breaks, it could drop to around 100700. A pullback can be used to buy near this level. The resistance level is near MA14; if it breaks, it could rise to around MA60. A rebound near this level can be used to sell short. MACD shows decreasing bearish momentum.
ETH
Analysis
Ethereum's daily line fell from a high of around 2450 to a low of around 2210 yesterday, closing around 2295. The support level is around 2210; if it breaks, it could drop to around MA90. A pullback can be used to buy near this level. The resistance level is near MA60; if it breaks, it could rise to around MA7. A rebound near this level can be used to sell short. MACD shows increasing bearish momentum. The four-hour resistance level is around MA360; if it breaks, it could rise to around MA14. A rebound near this level can be used to sell short. MACD shows increasing bearish momentum.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
June 21 Highlights:
1. Reddit considers adopting iris-scanning human verification technology developed by the World crypto project.
2. The Wyoming Stablecoin Committee plans to launch the WYST stablecoin mainnet on August 20.
3. Trump: If the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates to 1%-2%, he may "not fire" Powell.
4. The Ethereum L2 network Lisk community plans to vote to destroy 100 million tokens.
5. Federal Reserve's Daly: A weak labor market makes it more appropriate to lower rates in the fall, with economic fundamentals trending towards rate cuts.
Trading Insights
In cryptocurrency trading, adhering to the following six golden rules will help you achieve stable profits!
Strict stop-loss to protect your capital's lifeline ① Key points: Control single losses to within 10% of your capital; once the stop-loss line is reached, exit decisively. The stop-loss can be flexibly set between 5%-10% based on your risk tolerance. ② Key significance: Stop-loss is the last line of defense for controlling risk, preventing a single mistake from significantly shrinking your capital, allowing you to maintain the capital to continue trading in the market.
Avoid overtrading to reduce ineffective operations ① Key points: When market direction is unclear, remain cautious, reduce trading frequency, and avoid frequent buying and selling. Also, control the amount of capital invested each time to prevent impulsive decisions due to emotions. ② Key significance: Overtrading not only significantly increases trading costs but also easily traps people in a vicious cycle of chasing highs and cutting losses, reducing the success rate of trades.
Lock in profits to prevent gains from turning into losses ① Key points: When a trade generates profits, promptly set a take-profit level, suggesting at least above the cost price to ensure profits are secured. ② Key significance: The market changes rapidly; timely locking in profits can effectively avoid giving back gains due to market reversals, achieving steady growth of capital.
Follow the trend and do not fight against it ① Key points: Abandon subjective assumptions, do not preset fixed buying and selling prices, closely monitor market trends, and operate in line with the trend. If you have doubts about the market trend, exit decisively and observe. ② Key significance: Trading against the trend is like a mantis trying to stop a car; following the trend allows you to leverage market forces to increase the probability of profit.
Choose quality markets to enhance trading efficiency ① Key points: Prioritize choosing mainstream markets with good liquidity, high trading volume, and strong volatility, and avoid obscure trading pairs. ② Key significance: Active markets ensure quick execution of buy and sell orders, reducing slippage risk while providing more trading opportunities and profit space.
Strictly adhere to trading discipline and refuse arbitrary closing of positions ① Key points: Closing operations must follow pre-set take-profit and stop-loss rules, avoiding arbitrary actions due to emotional fluctuations or subjective judgments. ② Key significance: Trading discipline is the guarantee for effective execution of trading strategies; strictly adhering to discipline allows trading strategies to achieve maximum effectiveness.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trades from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the coin friends who followed along; if your operations are not going well, you can come and test the waters.
Data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from when it was issued.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
BTC
Analysis
Bitcoin's daily line fell from a high of around 106500 to a low of around 102250 yesterday, closing around 103250. The support level is around 102000; if it breaks, it could drop to around 101250. A pullback can be used to buy near this level. The resistance level is near the MA7 moving average; if it breaks, it could rise to around MA30. A rebound near this level can be used to sell short. MACD shows increasing bearish momentum. The four-hour support level is around 103000; if it breaks, it could drop to around 102450. A pullback can be used to buy near this level. The resistance level is near the MA7 moving average; if it breaks, it could rise to around MA30. A rebound near this level can be used to sell short. MACD shows increasing bearish momentum, forming a death cross.
ETH
Analysis
Ethereum's daily line fell from a high of around 2570 to a low of around 2365 yesterday, closing around 2405. The support level is near MA60; if it breaks, it could drop to around 2250. A pullback can be used to buy near this level. The resistance level is near the MA7 moving average; if it breaks, it could rise to around MA30. A rebound near this level can be used to sell short. MACD shows increasing bearish momentum. The four-hour support level is around 2380; if it breaks, it could drop to around 2345. A pullback can be used to buy near this level. The resistance level is near the MA7 moving average; if it breaks, it could rise to around MA30. A rebound near this level can be used to sell short. MACD shows increasing bearish momentum, forming a death cross.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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